The Model XI

The strongest XI the GoalIQ model found inside the standard 100.0m budget, ranked on projected points for GW7-GW12 (6 gameweeks). Every projected points figure here is a total over those 6, not one round. Prices, minutes and start probabilities are not: they are per player and per game. The budget has to cover a full 15, so the four on the bench are the cheapest players who still project real minutes: the squad can cover a blank without spending a transfer. This is the same optimiser the rate-my-team benchmark uses, rebuilt from the same projection file.

4-4-2Shape
318.6Projected points, XI, GW7-GW12
82.6mXI cost, 17.4m on the bench
Trafford24.5 xPGW7-GW12
Guéhi28.4 xPGW7-GW12
Calafiori27.8 xPGW7-GW12
Silva26.6 xPGW7-GW12
Thomas26.1 xPGW7-GW12
B.Fernandes33.9 xPGW7-GW12
Saka31.8 xPGW7-GW12
Mbeumo30.9 xPGW7-GW12
E.Le Fée26.5 xPGW7-GW12
Haaland36.5 xPGW7-GW12
Calvert-Lewin25.6 xPGW7-GW12

Bench

The other four in the 15, 17.4m. Same GW7-GW12 total on each name. Outfield bench players must project at least 45 expected minutes a game, so the squad can cover a blank without a transfer. The backup keeper is the cheapest available: he only plays if the first choice does not.

Austin5.8 xPGW7-GW12
van Ewijk17.5 xPGW7-GW12
Slater18.9 xPGW7-GW12
Thomas-Asante17.3 xPGW7-GW12

Every player in this XI projects as a nailed starter (start probability 75% or higher). The total does not rest on anyone who might be benched.

This is the best XI our search found inside the 100.0m budget, not the model's gameweek squad. That one is frozen before each deadline and built under the transfer rules from what it already owns, so it's a different 15.

Shirts show club colours only. GoalIQ is not affiliated with the Premier League and uses no club badges or player images. Projected points are model estimates, not betting advice.

The model's squad is frozen before every deadline. We play it in FPL as entry 116920, with our own chip calls and the occasional lineup change, and that's the team to beat in the Beat the Model mini-league (code jgi6j9). Season winner gets a year of GoalIQ Premium, free: one prize, decided by the mini-league table when the season ends.
Powered by the GoalIQ match model with a published, pre-match-logged track record. The full toolkit (captain ranker, transfer planner, chip timing) is GoalIQ Premium: 3.99 €/month or 25 €/year. Prices are lower in some countries. One subscription on web, iOS and Android.
Open GoalIQ PremiumFree clean-sheet probability & FDR

Updated 13 Oct 2026 · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.