FPL expected points, top 100 players ranked

What our match model projects each player to score over GW7-12, shown here for the top 100 of the full 485-player projection. Scoring rate and expected minutes are shown separately, so you can see which one is driving the number. Free, no sign-in, rebuilt every few hours.

Haaland#1 · MCI · 36.5 xP · 15.6m
B.Fernandes#2 · MUN · 33.9 xP · 11.9m
Saka#3 · ARS · 31.8 xP · 9.6m

Gameweek 7 expected points, top 20

One gameweek, not a total. This is what the model projects each player to score in gameweek 7 alone. The gameweek 7 deadline is Sat 17 Oct 10:00 UTC. The projected-points list on our gameweek card is this same list, so you can check it here without an account.

#PlayerTeamPosPriceGW7 xPOpponentStart%
1Haalandon penaltiesIPS (H)MCIFWD15.68.0IPS (H)93
2Cherkion corners, free kicksIPS (H)MCIMID7.85.5IPS (H)87
3GuéhiMCI 38.1% clean sheet chanceIPS (H)MCIDEF6.05.5IPS (H)97
4GabrielARS 49% clean sheet chanceNFO (A)ARSDEF7.95.4NFO (A)93
5Sakaon penalties; 2nd on corners, free kicksNFO (A)ARSMID9.65.3NFO (A)99
6De Cuyper !2nd on cornersCRY (H)BHADEF5.15.1CRY (H)97
7Thiagoon penaltiesLIV (H)BREFWD7.85.0LIV (H)92
8CalafioriARS 49% clean sheet chanceNFO (A)ARSDEF5.95.0NFO (A)92
9B.Fernandeson penalties, corners, free kicksLEE (A)MUNMID11.94.9LEE (A)98
10SilvaBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceSUN (H)BOUDEF5.04.9SUN (H)97
11Barnes0.30 xGI/90 in 2026/27AVL (H)NEWMID6.14.7AVL (H)92
12Großon penalties, corners, free kicksCRY (H)BHAMID6.04.7CRY (H)88
13Van Hecke !TOT 40.1% clean sheet chanceCOV (H)TOTDEF4.94.6COV (H)94
14Vuskovic !BHA 31.4% clean sheet chanceCRY (H)BHADEF5.04.6CRY (H)97
15Tavernieron corners, free kicksSUN (H)BOUMID6.14.6SUN (H)100
16Mbeumo2nd on penalties, corners, free kicksLEE (A)MUNMID7.94.5LEE (A)97
17Dewsbury-Hall2nd on cornersCHE (H)EVEMID6.64.5CHE (H)91
18HillBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceSUN (H)BOUDEF5.54.4SUN (H)100
19Barryon penaltiesCHE (H)EVEFWD5.74.3CHE (H)83
20ThomasCOV 27% clean sheet chanceTOT (A)COVDEF4.04.3TOT (A)99

! = last season's minutes do not describe this player's role here, either a short season or a move to this club.

Under each name: one number behind the projection. Clean sheet chance is his club's for this gameweek, the same number as on goaliq.app/fpl#clean-sheets. Set-piece order (first or second taker only) and xGI per 90 come from FPL's own player pages: this season's once he has 270 Premier League minutes, last season's until then. Last season still counts in the projection.

At most 3 players per club, because FPL will not let you own a fourth.

Top 100 by expected points (of 485 players)

Ranked by total xP over GW7-12. xP/GW is that total divided by 6, not a single-gameweek projection. xP/90 is the scoring rate, Start% is how likely he is to start, xMins combines the two.

#PlayerTeamPosPrice6GW xPxP/GWxP/9010+BlankCeilingStart%xMinsOwn%
1Haalandon penaltiesMCIFWD15.636.56.086.2332%4%14938775.1
2B.Fernandeson penalties, corners, free kicksMUNMID11.933.95.655.659%21%9989034.9
3Sakaon penalties; 2nd on corners, free kicksARSMID9.631.85.295.4111%18%10998616.7
4Mbeumo2nd on penalties, corners, free kicksMUNMID7.930.95.165.198%35%9979019.9
5GabrielARS 49% clean sheet chanceARSDEF7.929.94.984.986%22%9939021.9
6GuéhiMCI 38.1% clean sheet chanceMCIDEF6.028.44.734.7610%25%10979017.9
7CalafioriARS 49% clean sheet chanceARSDEF5.927.84.634.758%31%9928352.3
8Gibbs-Whiteon penalties, free kicksNFOMID8.027.24.534.552%46%7929014.9
9Tavernieron corners, free kicksBOUMID6.126.64.444.728%29%9100797.3
10Thiagoon penaltiesBREFWD7.826.64.444.4812%30%1092899.2
11Palmeron penalties; 2nd on free kicksCHEturnoverMID9.726.64.444.727%40%8888425.2
12SilvaBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceBOUDEF5.026.64.444.4310%26%997900.6
13De Cuyper !2nd on cornersBHAturnoverDEF5.126.64.434.6711%29%10977935.1
14Cherkion corners, free kicksMCIMID7.826.54.425.3814%24%11877231.5
15E.Le Féeon corners; 2nd on penaltiesSUNMID5.726.54.424.496%33%895863.1
16ThomasCOV 27% clean sheet chanceCOVpromotedDEF4.026.14.364.374%28%899898.8
17Stachon corners, free kicksLEEMID6.025.64.274.455%28%889862.3
18Semenyo2nd on penaltiesMCIMID8.325.64.274.3612%22%10918813.7
19Calvert-Lewinon penaltiesLEEFWD6.025.64.274.637%39%8888122.6
20Cunha0.32 xGI/90 in 2026/27MUNMID7.925.54.254.373%37%797856.4
21Rudonion free kicksCOVpromotedMID4.925.44.244.764%42%787710.1
22Riceon corners, free kicksARSMID7.325.34.224.314%21%8988610.8
23Anderson !0.17 xGI/90 in 2026/27MCIMID6.325.24.204.427%21%888843.9
24Vuskovic !BHA 31.4% clean sheet chanceBHAturnoverDEF5.024.94.154.267%32%997854.6
25Dewsbury-Hall2nd on cornersEVEMID6.624.84.144.217%27%891885.7
26Großon penalties, corners, free kicksBHAturnoverMID6.024.84.134.348%24%9888639.2
27Ødegaard !0.65 xGI/90 in 2026/27ARSMID6.824.84.134.414%26%8987819.8
28MukieleSUN 18% clean sheet chanceSUNDEF5.424.74.124.124%41%8100901.8
29Gonzaloon penaltiesFULFWD6.124.74.124.479%42%988807.3
30KhalailiCRY 11.7% clean sheet chanceCRYDEF5.024.74.114.124%52%797880.3
31RayaARS 49% clean sheet chanceARSGKP6.124.54.084.080%37%7939043.7
32Trafford !LEE 24.3% clean sheet chanceLEEGKP5.024.54.084.080%39%792905.6
33TarkowskiEVE 21.9% clean sheet chanceEVEDEF6.224.14.024.185%30%8898718.4
34TzolakisHUL 26.4% clean sheet chanceHULpromotedGKP4.723.93.983.980%30%7929013.5
35Barryon penaltiesEVEFWD5.723.73.954.4710%40%983788.6
36HillBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceBOUDEF5.523.63.943.943%27%8100900.8
37Barnes0.30 xGI/90 in 2026/27NEWturnoverMID6.123.63.944.089%29%992878.2
38MuharemovićLEE 24.3% clean sheet chanceLEEDEF5.023.53.924.154%39%889854.5
39Sávio !2nd on cornersTOTMID6.523.43.914.186%35%890810.7
40Van Hecke !TOT 40.1% clean sheet chanceTOTDEF4.923.43.894.127%33%994856.3
41Lacroix !CHE 21% clean sheet chanceCHEturnoverDEF5.923.33.894.192%41%785826.5
42Evanilson0.37 xGI/90 in 2026/27BOUFWD6.023.23.873.905%49%795883.5
43Buendíaon penalties, free kicks; 2nd on cornersAVLturnoverMID5.923.13.864.123%41%799741.2
44Wirtz2nd on corners, free kicksLIVMID7.323.13.844.104%43%7100775.2
45RúbenMCI 38.1% clean sheet chanceMCIDEF5.523.03.843.903%42%896891.9
46Enzo !0.25 xGI/90 in 2026/27MCIMID6.922.93.824.539%34%981723.8
47Martinez !CHE 21% clean sheet chanceCHEturnoverGKP5.022.93.823.820%40%793904.7
48DonnarummaMCI 38.1% clean sheet chanceMCIGKP5.522.93.813.810%40%792907.6
49Rayan !0.28 xGI/90 in 2026/27BOUMID6.322.83.813.854%42%8100871.5
50Xhaka2nd on corners, free kicksSUNMID5.422.83.813.812%33%792903.4
51Rogers !0.55 xGI/90 in 2026/27CHEturnoverMID7.922.83.794.094%46%7878244.8
52Havertz !0.40 xGI/90 in 2026/27ARSFWD7.522.63.764.054%45%791796.6
53EganHUL 26.4% clean sheet chanceHULpromotedDEF4.122.63.763.752%41%790877.3
54VirgilLIV 14% clean sheet chanceLIVDEF6.522.43.733.732%48%7989015.8
55João Pedro0.64 xGI/90 in 2026/27CHEturnoverFWD7.822.43.735.075%43%7746469.5
56TruffertBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceBOUDEF5.422.33.723.733%35%899882.8
57McGinnon cornersAVLturnoverMID5.422.33.713.813%47%794862.5
58RichardsCRY 11.7% clean sheet chanceCRYDEF4.922.23.703.781%50%697880.6
59DasilvaCOV 27% clean sheet chanceCOVpromotedDEF4.022.23.703.702%49%799890.9
60Danso !SUN 18% clean sheet chanceSUNDEF5.022.03.663.662%45%794900.2
61Garneron corners, free kicks; 2nd on penaltiesEVEMID6.021.83.643.883%34%786800.2
62AjayiHUL 26.4% clean sheet chanceHULpromotedDEF4.221.83.633.634%51%7908913.8
63RoefsSUN 18% clean sheet chanceSUNGKP4.921.63.603.600%48%692902.3
64Rushworth !COV 27% clean sheet chanceCOVpromotedGKP4.521.53.593.720%40%788870.7
65KelleherBRE 22.5% clean sheet chanceBREGKP5.021.43.573.570%42%792906.1
66LammensMUN 23.3% clean sheet chanceMUNGKP4.921.43.563.560%48%692909.2
67VerbruggenBHA 31.4% clean sheet chanceBHAturnoverGKP4.521.43.563.710%39%7888621.9
68SuzukiAVL 13.4% clean sheet chanceAVLturnoverGKP5.021.23.533.720%44%688861.9
69JustinLEE 24.3% clean sheet chanceLEEDEF4.521.13.524.003%49%783761.6
70N.Jackson2nd on penaltiesAVLturnoverFWD6.621.13.514.334%51%786722.5
71Kinsky !TOT 40.1% clean sheet chanceTOTGKP4.521.13.513.510%41%7929015.7
72Gvardiol !MCI 38.1% clean sheet chanceMCIDEF5.821.13.514.525%50%8676928.0
73JacquetLIV 14% clean sheet chanceLIVDEF5.021.03.513.502%52%693873.7
74Emersonn2nd on penaltiesIPSpromotedFWD5.620.93.494.633%53%683614.0
75AmpaduLEEMID5.420.93.493.852%36%683820.9
76BotmanNEW 24.2% clean sheet chanceNEWturnoverDEF5.020.93.483.675%34%891850.8
77Neto2nd on cornersCHEturnoverMID6.520.83.473.882%52%783741.4
78PickfordEVE 21.9% clean sheet chanceEVEGKP5.520.83.473.470%50%692909.0
79Enciso !0.55 xGI/90 in 2026/27IPSpromotedMID5.520.83.463.943%62%785730.8
80Wissa !2nd on penaltiesNEWturnoverFWD6.320.73.454.039%41%9817518.2
81LenoFUL 31.6% clean sheet chanceFULGKP4.520.63.443.530%39%789884.1
82OkaforLEEMID5.820.63.444.002%47%784660.4
83ThiawNEW 24.2% clean sheet chanceNEWturnoverDEF5.020.63.443.627%41%891852.2
84Branthwaite !EVE 21.9% clean sheet chanceEVEDEF5.520.63.433.612%43%788862.6
85A.BeckerLIV 14% clean sheet chanceLIVGKP5.520.63.433.430%53%592904.3
86Canvot !CRY 11.7% clean sheet chanceCRYDEF4.820.43.413.902%54%682790.2
87Hallon corners, free kicksNEWturnoverDEF5.320.43.403.515%37%8938720.7
88BogleLEE 24.3% clean sheet chanceLEEDEF4.720.43.403.834%57%785688.9
89Murillo2nd on free kicksNFODEF5.520.43.403.441%46%797892.1
90Gileson free kicksHULpromotedDEF4.020.33.383.381%52%690822.9
91Gomez0.32 xGI/90 in 2026/27BHAturnoverMID5.020.23.364.085%41%876723.6
92Mainoo0.17 xGI/90 in 2026/27MUNMID5.520.23.364.021%52%563641.5
93HorníčekNEW 24.2% clean sheet chanceNEWturnoverGKP5.020.13.353.360%42%792901.5
94PetrovićBOU 30.8% clean sheet chanceBOUGKP4.520.13.353.530%42%787862.9
95Martinez !MUN 23.3% clean sheet chanceMUNDEF4.920.03.343.571%51%787841.3
96Wharton2nd on cornersCRYMID5.420.03.333.871%49%680760.7
97Delap !0.60 xGI/90 in 2026/27NFOFWD5.619.93.323.911%73%680712.3
98MaguireMUN 23.3% clean sheet chanceMUNDEF4.819.93.313.622%52%789827.5
99King !0.41 xGI/90 in 2026/27FULMID5.619.93.313.693%47%786754.7
100Davis2nd on free kicksIPSpromotedDEF4.019.83.303.303%72%690907.7

! = last season's minutes do not describe this player's role here, either a short season or a move to this club.

Under each name: one number behind the projection. Clean sheet chance is his club's for this gameweek, the same number as on goaliq.app/fpl#clean-sheets. Set-piece order (first or second taker only) and xGI per 90 come from FPL's own player pages: this season's once he has 270 Premier League minutes, last season's until then. Last season still counts in the projection.

Flagged teams. Coventry, Hull, Ipswich: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 6 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result. Aston Villa: 36% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet. Brighton: 26% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet. Chelsea: 28% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet. Newcastle United: 25% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet. The flag means the projection is working with weaker information. It does not say which way that moves the number, because that is the part the data would not support. Their players carry a tag in the table, 32 of them in this top 100.

Start% near 50 means the model is split. Those totals depend on the team news. They are not a settled projection. A keeper on 51% is not a 45-minute keeper.

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Updated 13 Oct 2026 · · GoalIQ model predictions are statistical estimates for fun and analysis, not betting advice, and not a gambling service.