Premier League · kickoff Sat 08 May 2027, 14:00 UTC. Too close to call. The model has Tottenham at 30% and Chelsea at 42%, 12 percentage points apart. Under 16 points the model's named side has won 52% of the matches that had a winner, so it does not call this one. How that line is set.
Tottenham 30%Draw 28%Chelsea 42%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Chelsea: 28% of last season's minutes were played by players who have since left. The rating is fitted on results, so it has not priced that in yet.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-13 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.