Premier League · kickoff Tue 29 Dec 2026, 19:30 UTC. Too close to call. The model has Hull at 40% and Leeds at 29%, 11 percentage points apart. Under 16 points the model's named side has won 52% of the matches that had a winner, so it does not call this one. How that line is set.
Hull 40%Draw 31%Leeds 29%
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Lower confidence in this one.
Hull: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 6 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-13 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.