Premier League · kickoff Sat 16 Jan 2027, 15:00 UTC. The GoalIQ match model makes Arsenal the favourite at 49% to win.
Hull 20%Draw 30%Arsenal 49%
Premiumexpected goals and scoreline probabilities on GoalIQ Premium
Lower confidence in this one.
Hull: Promoted side. The model now has a rating of its own, but it is fitted on 6 matches of Premier League football, so it moves a lot with each result.
The model is fitted on results, so it prices a squad by what it did, not by who is in it now.
This prediction was logged before kickoff on 2026-10-13 and will be graded in our public track record, hits and misses included.